COVID-19 crisis could return quickly as infections surge, UK adviser warns

  • Chief Medical Officer: England not out of COVID-19 woods
  • Daily case numbers highest since January
  • England set to end legal restrictions on July 19
  • Self-isolation vexes businesses as full reopening nears

LONDON, July 16 (Reuters) – England’s coronavirus crisis could return again surprisingly quickly and the country is not yet out of the woods, the British government’s chief medical adviser said, as infections surged ahead of the lifting of legal restrictions.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is removing most pandemic restrictions in England from July 19, saying a rapid rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has largely broken the link between infections and serious illness or death. read more

Johnson has said he is reconciled to more deaths from COVID-19 but that the summer is the best time to reopen and that continued lockdown would impact lives and livelihoods.

Daily reported cases are over 40,000 for the first time since January, and a closely watched prevalence survey showed that as many as 1 in 95 people in England might have been infected with COVID-19 in the week to July 10. read more

“We are not by any means out of the woods yet on this,” Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty said late on Thursday during a webinar hosted by the Science Museum.

He added that the doubling time for hospitalisations was around three weeks, and that low numbers of people in hospital with COVID-19 currently could rise to serious levels over the next couple of months.

“It doesn’t take many doublings until we’re in actually quite scary numbers again … I don’t think we should underestimate the fact that we could get into trouble again surprisingly fast,” Whitty said.

Britain’s COVID-19 death toll is among the highest in the world but two-thirds of its adult population have been fully vaccinated.

Johnson is urging people to be cautious as England moves to Step 4 – the end of legal lockdown curbs – on Monday. This means the last remaining businesses still closed, including nightclubs, can finally reopen.

The self-isolation requirement for people exposed to positive cases could hinder the economy, however.

Over 520,000 contact tracing alerts were sent through the National Health Service app in the week to July 7, and Karan Bilimoria, president of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), said it was a seriously concerning situation.

“On Monday we’re going to have a situation where on the one hand we’re opening up the economy, on the other hand we’re closing down the economy,” he told LBC radio.

“The hospitality sector, 20% of staff are isolating, the health service up to 25% of staff are absent, and buses and trains delayed. This cannot go on … This is wrecking the economy.”

Reporting by Alistair Smout in London
Additional reporting by Kanishka Singh in Bengaluru and Kate Holton in London;
Editing by Karishma Singh, Guy Faulconbridge and Catherine Evans

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